Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.121410 0.135210 0.149341 0.164855 0.181368 0.198385 0.217207
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.102204 0.121215 0.141430 0.164396 0.189633 0.216397 0.246805
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.090840 0.113733 0.138865 0.168223 0.201300 0.237160 0.278720
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080290 0.105823 0.134697 0.169282 0.209115 0.253118 0.304974
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.070797 0.098091 0.129843 0.168772 0.214508 0.265884 0.327312
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.063581 0.092330 0.126662 0.169646 0.221035 0.279598 0.350488
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056542 0.086118 0.122375 0.168705 0.225026 0.290081 0.369732
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052455 0.083263 0.121880 0.172072 0.233925 0.306150 0.395384
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047642 0.079030 0.119310 0.172587 0.239151 0.317725 0.415675
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043159 0.074862 0.116508 0.172539 0.243475 0.328073 0.434419
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038710 0.070369 0.112976 0.171297 0.246107 0.336230 0.450445
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035642 0.067592 0.111523 0.172565 0.251752 0.347964 0.470729
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033620 0.066286 0.112083 0.176574 0.261063 0.364479 0.497215
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030393 0.062895 0.109564 0.176345 0.264863 0.374156 0.515398
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028804 0.061913 0.110338 0.180479 0.274269 0.390818 0.542195
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026485 0.059569 0.109019 0.181656 0.279759 0.402558 0.562958
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023914 0.056581 0.106586 0.181158 0.282949 0.411344 0.580045
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021944 0.054430 0.105256 0.182090 0.287960 0.422398 0.599953
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019684 0.051555 0.102670 0.181116 0.290325 0.430022 0.615548
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018652 0.050802 0.103272 0.184645 0.298733 0.445396 0.640907
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017046 0.048826 0.101859 0.185186 0.303037 0.455463 0.659587
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015452 0.046712 0.100105 0.185137 0.306472 0.464370 0.676795
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.013755 0.044205 0.097580 0.183837 0.308103 0.470877 0.690930